Shopping on line can be easy, simple and save you lots of money. It can also take a lot of your time, frustrate you, and result in unwanted purchases. Now the same can be said for regular high street shopping, but with the vast opportunity presented by the Internet it will pay you to spend a few minutes reading this and understanding how to better optimize your Black Wednesday shopping experience:
1. Compare - without doubt the biggest advantage that the Black Wednesday offers shoppers today is the ability to compare thousands of Black Wednesday at a time. This is a great thing, but not necessarily all the time! Too much can be daunting at times so take advantage of the great comparison sites and where possible let them do the hard work for you.
2. Research - if it has been said it will be on the internet. Ignorance is no longer a justifiable reason for buying the wrong thing. Take the time to research in detail everything that you could possible want to know about
3. Testimonials - don't know anybody that has bought a Black Wednesday? Wrong! If the Black Wednesday is good the internet will let you know. Use the Internet as a friend and get testimonials before you buy.
4. Questions - Got a question about Black Wednesday then search the Forums, FAQ's, Blogs etc. Don't be afraid to ask .....
5. Reputation - Never heard of the company selling Black Wednesday? Don't worry, no reason why you should know every company in the world, but you know someone that does! Use the internet to find out what people are saying about Black Wednesday and build up a picture of their reputation for sales, returns, customer service, delivery etc.
6. Returns - still worried that even after all of the above your Black Wednesday wont be what you want? Check out the returns policy. There is so much competition now that someone, somewhere is bound to offer the terms that you are comfortable with.
7. Feedback - happy with your Black Wednesday then let people know, after all you are depending on others people input in your buying decision, so why not give a little back.
8. Security - check for the yellow padlock on the Black Wednesday site before you buy, and the s after http:/ /i.e. https:// = a secure site
9. Contact - got a question about Black Wednesday, or want to leave a comment then check out the sites contact page. Reputable companies have them and respond.
10. Payment - ready to pay for your Black Wednesday, then use your credit card or PayPal! Be aware of companies that don't accept them, there may be genuine reasons but given the huge amount of choice you have when buying online there is no reason at all not to buy via credit card or PayPal.
In
United Kingdom politics and
economics,
Black Wednesday refers to
16 September 1992 when the Conservative Party (UK)
Her Majesty's Government was forced to withdraw the Pound Sterling from the
European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) due to pressure by
currency speculators—most notably George Soros who made over
United States dollar1 billion from this speculation. In 1997 the UK Treasury estimated the cost of Black Wednesday at £3.4 billion.
The trading losses in August and September were estimated at £800m, but the main loss to taxpayers arose because the devaluation could have made them a profit. The papers show that if the government had maintained $24bn foreign currency reserves and the pound had fallen by the same amount, the UK would have made a £2.4bn profit on sterling's devaluation (
Financial Times 10 February 2005). The papers also show that the Treasury spent £27bn of reserves in propping up the pound; the Treasury calculates the ultimate loss was only £3.4bn.
The prelude
When the ERM was set up in 1979, Britain declined to join. This was a controversial decision as the
Chancellor of the Exchequer Geoffrey Howe, despite his economically 'dry' credentials, was a convinced pro-European. His successor Nigel Lawson was also a believer in a fixed exchange rate, and although he was a mild Eurosceptic he admired the low inflationary record of West Germany, attributing it to the strength of the Deutsche Mark and the management of the Bundesbank. Thus although Britain had not joined the ERM, for several years the Treasury followed a semi-official policy of 'shadowing' the Deutsche Mark.
At the same time, and in addition to open market trading of currencies, the Treasury's main tool in attempting to control the exchange rate was through the setting of the value of Sterling. As a consequence, interest rates were set with consideration of the domestic demand and inflation environment as only a secondary consideration. This led to a number of years of lower interest rates than would have otherwise been the case, and henceThis is a matter of some debate. Former Prime Minister Edward Heath referred to this as a "one club golf" policy. Interest rates are a blunt instrument that affects all aspects of the economy equally. They should be supplemented by selective fiscal policies. However, to do so was contrary to the prevailing
monetarist views at the time. to rising inflation.
Matters came to a head in a clash between Margaret Thatcher's economic advisor,
Alan Walters, and Lawson, when Walters claimed that the Exchange Rate Mechanism was "half baked". This led to Lawson resigning as chancellor to be replaced by his old
protégé John Major, who, with Douglas Hurd, the then
Foreign Secretary, pressured Margaret Thatcher to sign Britain up to the ERM in October 1990, effectively guaranteeing that the British Government would follow an economicContemporary comment accused John Major and Norman Lamont of repeated delay in taking the fiscal and monetary steps that were needed until after the latest of the many by-elections, thus accelerating the decline. At the time, the Bank of England was not independent and interest rates were set by the Chancellor of the Exchequer. and monetary policy that would prevent the exchange rate between the pound and other member currencies from fluctuating by more than 6%. The pound entered the mechanism at 2.95
Deutsche Mark to the pound. Hence, if the exchange rate ever neared the bottom of its permitted range, 2.778 marks, the government would be obliged to intervene. With UK inflation at three times the rate of Germany's, interest rates at 15% and the "
Lawson Boom" about to bust, the conditions for joining the ERM were not favourable at that time.
From the beginning of the 1990s, high German
interest rates, set by the
Bundesbank to counteract inflationary effects related to excess expenditure on
German reunification, caused significant stress across the whole of the ERM. The UK and Italy had additional difficulties with their
double deficit (economics)s. Issues of national prestige and the commitment to a doctrine that the fixing of exchange rates within the ERM was a pathway to a single European currency inhibited the adjustment of exchange rates. In the wake of the rejection of the
Maastricht Treaty by the Danish electorate in a referendum in the spring of 1992, those ERM currencies that were trading close to the bottom of their ERM bands came under speculative attack in the foreign exchange markets by currency speculators.
The currency speculators' attack
The fundamental sterling problem in September 1992 was that the dollar was rapidly depreciating against the deutschmark. Tied as it was to the ERM, the pound was hence appreciating to unsustainable levels against the US currency. With a large proportion of British exports priced in dollars, a pound/dollar correction was well overdue. ERM membership was preventing this from happening. In anticipation of the inevitable dam-bursting, speculators hastened the process by borrowing pounds (and also lire) and selling them for DM, in the expectation of being able to repay the loan in devalued currency and to pocket the difference.
On
September 16 the British government announced a rise in the base interest rate from an already high 10% to 12% in order to tempt speculators to buy pounds. Despite this and a promise later the same day to raise base rates again to 15%, dealers kept selling pounds, convinced that the government would not stick with its promise. By 19:00 that evening,
Norman Lamont, then Chancellor, announced Britain would leave the ERM and rates would remain at the new level of 12%.
The aftermath
Other ERM countries such as Italy, whose currencies had breached their bands during the day, returned to the system with broadened bands or with adjusted central parities. Even in this relaxed form, ERM-I proved vulnerable, and ten months later the rules were relaxed further to the point of imposing very little constraint on the domestic monetary policies of member states.
The effect of the high German interest rates, and so the high British interest rates, had been arguably to put Britain into recession as large numbers of businesses failed and the housing market crashed. In his memoirs, John Major claimed that ERM membership had had the beneficial effect of wringing inflation out of Britain's system.
In the months following Black Wednesday, and for a few years later, the pound traded substantially below its ERM lower band. It dipped below 2.20
Deutsche Mark in spring 1995. From this point onwards however, it began a sustained recovery and, at one point, touched the value of 3.20 DM. Some commentators believe that 'Black' Wednesday has proved to be good for the British economy in the long-term, as interest rates were allowed to find their natural level and the government was encouraged to adopt institutional changes that have further strengthened the economy. Ironically, sterling subsequently rallied in the autumn of 1996 and early 1997 back to the levels where it had been before Black Wednesday; sterling's trade weighted index remained fairly stable at these levels until late 2006.
Indeed the performance of the UK economy subsequent to the events of Black Wednesday has been significantly stronger than that of the
Eurozone and, despite the damage caused to the economy in the short term, many economists now use the term 'White Wednesday' to describe the day (a term originally coined by Euroscepticism happy at the stalling of further
European integration). According to figures from the
OECD, the average annual growth rate between 1996 and 2005 works out at 2.2% in France, 1.5% in Italy, 1.3% in Germany, 2% for the Eurozone overall and 2.7% in the UK .
However, the reputation of Conservative Party (UK) for competent handling of the economy was shattered. The Conservatives had recently won the
United Kingdom general election, 1992, and the Gallup poll for September showed a 2.5% Conservative lead. By the October poll, following Black Wednesday, they had plunged from 43% voting intention to 29%, Gallup spreadsheet while Labour jumped into a lead of 22%, one which they held more-or-less unbroken (except for a brief period in September 2000 following fuel protests) through three successive general election victories. It was 15 years before the Conservatives regained the 42%+ popularity that is considered the minimum necessary for a Conservative general election victory. Sunday Telegraph 14 October 2007: ICM poll puts Conservatives on 43% Ipsos MORI: Voting intentions (Westminster) - all companies' polls Many commentators believe that the event was a key reason for the party's long-term relative unpopularity.
EU economists' analysis of this event concluded that stable exchange rates are the result, not the cause, of a common approach to economic management, resulting in the
Stability and Growth Pact that underpins ERM II and subsequently the Euro single currency.
Footnotes
See also
- Monetary policy of Sweden#1992
{{Black days-->
External links
- BBC "On This Day" article on Black Wednesday
In United Kingdom politics and
economics,
Black Wednesday refers to
16 September 1992 when the Conservative Party (UK)
Her Majesty's Government was forced to withdraw the
Pound Sterling from the
European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) due to pressure by
currency speculators—most notably George Soros who made over
United States dollar1 billion from this speculation. In 1997 the UK Treasury estimated the cost of Black Wednesday at £3.4 billion.
The trading losses in August and September were estimated at £800m, but the main loss to taxpayers arose because the devaluation could have made them a profit. The papers show that if the government had maintained $24bn foreign currency reserves and the pound had fallen by the same amount, the UK would have made a £2.4bn profit on sterling's devaluation (Financial Times
10 February 2005). The papers also show that the Treasury spent £27bn of reserves in propping up the pound; the Treasury calculates the ultimate loss was only £3.4bn.
The prelude
When the ERM was set up in 1979, Britain declined to join. This was a controversial decision as the
Chancellor of the Exchequer Geoffrey Howe, despite his economically 'dry' credentials, was a convinced pro-European. His successor Nigel Lawson was also a believer in a fixed exchange rate, and although he was a mild
Eurosceptic he admired the low inflationary record of
West Germany, attributing it to the strength of the
Deutsche Mark and the management of the
Bundesbank. Thus although Britain had not joined the ERM, for several years the Treasury followed a semi-official policy of 'shadowing' the Deutsche Mark.
At the same time, and in addition to open market trading of currencies, the Treasury's main tool in attempting to control the exchange rate was through the setting of the value of Sterling. As a consequence, interest rates were set with consideration of the domestic demand and inflation environment as only a secondary consideration. This led to a number of years of lower interest rates than would have otherwise been the case, and henceThis is a matter of some debate. Former Prime Minister
Edward Heath referred to this as a "one club golf" policy. Interest rates are a blunt instrument that affects all aspects of the economy equally. They should be supplemented by selective fiscal policies. However, to do so was contrary to the prevailing monetarist views at the time. to rising inflation.
Matters came to a head in a clash between
Margaret Thatcher's economic advisor,
Alan Walters, and Lawson, when Walters claimed that the Exchange Rate Mechanism was "half baked". This led to Lawson resigning as chancellor to be replaced by his old protégé
John Major, who, with Douglas Hurd, the then Foreign Secretary, pressured Margaret Thatcher to sign Britain up to the ERM in October 1990, effectively guaranteeing that the British Government would follow an economicContemporary comment accused John Major and Norman Lamont of repeated delay in taking the fiscal and monetary steps that were needed until after the latest of the many by-elections, thus accelerating the decline. At the time, the
Bank of England was not independent and interest rates were set by the Chancellor of the Exchequer. and monetary policy that would prevent the exchange rate between the pound and other member currencies from fluctuating by more than 6%. The pound entered the mechanism at 2.95
Deutsche Mark to the pound. Hence, if the exchange rate ever neared the bottom of its permitted range, 2.778 marks, the government would be obliged to intervene. With UK inflation at three times the rate of Germany's, interest rates at 15% and the "
Lawson Boom" about to bust, the conditions for joining the ERM were not favourable at that time.
From the beginning of the 1990s, high German
interest rates, set by the Bundesbank to counteract inflationary effects related to excess expenditure on German reunification, caused significant stress across the whole of the ERM. The UK and Italy had additional difficulties with their
double deficit (economics)s. Issues of national prestige and the commitment to a doctrine that the fixing of exchange rates within the ERM was a pathway to a single European currency inhibited the adjustment of exchange rates. In the wake of the rejection of the
Maastricht Treaty by the Danish electorate in a referendum in the spring of 1992, those ERM currencies that were trading close to the bottom of their ERM bands came under speculative attack in the foreign exchange markets by currency speculators.
The currency speculators' attack
The fundamental sterling problem in September 1992 was that the dollar was rapidly depreciating against the deutschmark. Tied as it was to the ERM, the pound was hence appreciating to unsustainable levels against the US currency. With a large proportion of British exports priced in dollars, a pound/dollar correction was well overdue. ERM membership was preventing this from happening. In anticipation of the inevitable dam-bursting, speculators hastened the process by borrowing pounds (and also lire) and selling them for DM, in the expectation of being able to repay the loan in devalued currency and to pocket the difference.
On
September 16 the British government announced a rise in the base interest rate from an already high 10% to 12% in order to tempt speculators to buy pounds. Despite this and a promise later the same day to raise base rates again to 15%, dealers kept selling pounds, convinced that the government would not stick with its promise. By 19:00 that evening,
Norman Lamont, then Chancellor, announced Britain would leave the ERM and rates would remain at the new level of 12%.
The aftermath
Other ERM countries such as Italy, whose currencies had breached their bands during the day, returned to the system with broadened bands or with adjusted central parities. Even in this relaxed form, ERM-I proved vulnerable, and ten months later the rules were relaxed further to the point of imposing very little constraint on the domestic monetary policies of member states.
The effect of the high German interest rates, and so the high British interest rates, had been arguably to put Britain into recession as large numbers of businesses failed and the housing market crashed. In his memoirs, John Major claimed that ERM membership had had the beneficial effect of wringing inflation out of Britain's system.
In the months following Black Wednesday, and for a few years later, the pound traded substantially below its ERM lower band. It dipped below 2.20
Deutsche Mark in spring 1995. From this point onwards however, it began a sustained recovery and, at one point, touched the value of 3.20 DM. Some commentators believe that 'Black' Wednesday has proved to be good for the British economy in the long-term, as interest rates were allowed to find their natural level and the government was encouraged to adopt institutional changes that have further strengthened the economy. Ironically, sterling subsequently rallied in the autumn of 1996 and early 1997 back to the levels where it had been before Black Wednesday; sterling's trade weighted index remained fairly stable at these levels until late 2006.
Indeed the performance of the UK economy subsequent to the events of Black Wednesday has been significantly stronger than that of the Eurozone and, despite the damage caused to the economy in the short term, many economists now use the term 'White Wednesday' to describe the day (a term originally coined by Euroscepticism happy at the stalling of further
European integration). According to figures from the OECD, the average annual growth rate between 1996 and 2005 works out at 2.2% in France, 1.5% in Italy, 1.3% in Germany, 2% for the Eurozone overall and 2.7% in the UK .
However, the reputation of
Conservative Party (UK) for competent handling of the economy was shattered. The Conservatives had recently won the
United Kingdom general election, 1992, and the Gallup poll for September showed a 2.5% Conservative lead. By the October poll, following Black Wednesday, they had plunged from 43% voting intention to 29%, Gallup spreadsheet while Labour jumped into a lead of 22%, one which they held more-or-less unbroken (except for a brief period in September 2000 following fuel protests) through three successive general election victories. It was 15 years before the Conservatives regained the 42%+ popularity that is considered the minimum necessary for a Conservative general election victory. Sunday Telegraph 14 October 2007: ICM poll puts Conservatives on 43% Ipsos MORI: Voting intentions (Westminster) - all companies' polls Many commentators believe that the event was a key reason for the party's long-term relative unpopularity.
EU economists' analysis of this event concluded that stable exchange rates are the result, not the cause, of a common approach to economic management, resulting in the
Stability and Growth Pact that underpins ERM II and subsequently the
Euro single currency.
Footnotes
See also
{{Black days-->
External links
- BBC "On This Day" article on Black Wednesday